Keller WIlliams Luxury Logo
Home » I’ve been telling you we hit the bottom

I’ve been telling you we hit the bottom

by | Aug 6, 2008 | Neighborhood News | 0 comments

Take a look this article from this week’s Washington Post. I think it states what many people have been saying and that’s simply we’ve hit the bottom of the barrel.
Housing particularly in Colorado is not going to drop further.

A team of economists who created a variety of forecasting models concludes that predictions of further large housing price declines are greatly overblown.

They point to the house price index of the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise as most reflective of reality. Its data reveals that only four states — Arizona, California, Florida, and Nevada — have had declines of more than 4 percent in home prices over the past year.

These economists, including professors from Columbia University and from the Center for Real Estate at Wichita State University in Kansas, discount more drastic figures from the Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller housing price index. They say this index is faulty because it doesn’t include data from 13 states and offers only partial coverage of 29 others, making its results an inaccurate reflection of middle-market homeownership.

Using a model constructed from the OFHEO price index, foreclosures, home sales, permits and employment, the economic team concluded that declines in house prices are highly likely to remain small.

“Our analysis reveals, unsurprisingly, that foreclosures and home prices have negative effects on each other over time, but this does not imply a vicious cycle of collapsing prices. Our models predict that as foreclosures continue to climb in many states, house prices will remain flat or decline in those states — but will not collapse.

“One reason for this is that the effect of foreclosure shocks on house prices is small. Furthermore, other fundamental factors (such as employment growth and a slowing of the growth of the housing supply over the past year and a half) will cushion the impact of foreclosures,” the economic team said.

Recent Posts

June Market Statistics for the Kohala Coast

June Market Statistics for the Kohala Coast

Real estate activity along the Kona-Kohala Coast was quiet in June, with only a few condominium sales and no single-family home sales within the resort areas. The exception was Mauna Lani Resort, which was the bright spot with six condominium closings. Mauna Kea...

read more
Featured Big Island Restaurant & Activity for August

Featured Big Island Restaurant & Activity for August

Featured Activity: A Day Trip to the East Side – Explore ʻImiloa Astronomy Center Located on the University of Hawaiʻi-Hilo campus, ʻImiloa Astronomy Center is a must-visit destination for anyone curious about the stars, Hawaiian culture, and the art ofnavigation....

read more
May Sales Statistics for the Big Island Resort Areas

May Sales Statistics for the Big Island Resort Areas

Apart from condominium sales in Mauna Lani and Waikoloa Beach resorts, real estate activity along the Kona-Kohala Coast was light. Mauna Lani Resort led the market with six condominium sales, followed by three in Waikoloa Beach Resort and one in Mauna Kea Resort....

read more
The Leverage Is Yours, For Now.

The Leverage Is Yours, For Now.

By Dan Polimino The slow season in Hawai`i is May 1 through November 1. There is usually is a little bit of an uptick in activity in the summer months of June, July and August based on summer vacation travel. But, for the most part tourism is down, sales transactions...

read more

Recent Listings

Call Now